在新的历史条件下，经济全球化和区域经济一体化趋势加速发展，城市竞争不再是区 域范围内城市之间的内部竞争，而是城市群与城市群之间的竞争，是区域与区域间的竞 争。而良好的物流支撑体系是提升城市群竞争力的基础，是区域经济快速协调发展的关 键，是实现人才流、商流、物流、资金流协调运作的核心。因此，从经济理论上探讨现 代物流对城市群经济的增长贡献具有十分重要的意义。 本文阐述了现代物流特点，城市群的形成对区域经济发展的巨大推动作用，以及现 代物流与城市群经济发展的相互关系；通过反映山东半岛城市群、现代物流的发展在状 况，分析了山东半岛城市群现代物流与经济增长关系的实际情况；通过对物流与区域经 济增长关系的模型分析，确定使用时间序列分析方法，并根据山东半岛城市群的实际情 况，以龙头城市青岛为例，建立了山东半岛现代物流与城市群经济增长关系的数学模型， 在此基础上运用格兰杰英国关系检验，分析了青岛市现代物流与城市经济增长之间的关 系；在通过对山东半岛实际案例的分析，证明了山东半岛物流与城市群经济呈现出相互 促进、协调发展的特点，提出了有益于山东半岛城市群建设的对策。 本研究是对现代物流与城市群经济增长关系建立的有益探讨，对现代物流与城市群 经济发展研究向定量化、科学化、规范化方向发展具有积极的正面作用，为政府相关部 门对物流与城市群经济发展进行宏观调控提供了参考。

The trend of economic gio蝴on and regional ec0∞mic integration is developing rapidly．Town is the competition between urban cluster and the city group．Logistics support system is to cllhane．．贮the competitiveness of urban cluster．So，it is of great signiiicance to explore modern logistics contribution to the economic growth ofurbancluster． This thesis described the characteristics of modem logistics,the tremendous role of urban cluster in一omoting regional economic development,and the interrelationship between modern logistics and economic development ofurban cluster：by renectmg the development situation of modem logistics and urban cluster，this thesis analyzed the actual situation between modem logistics and economic growth in the urban cluster of Shandong Peninsula； by using time-series analysis，and according to the acid situation of Shandong Peninsula cities cluster，this thesis establishment mathematical model ofamodclll logistics contribution to the economic growth of urban cluster；,and using Granger to analysis between economic growth of urban cluster and modern logistics．Finally'by analyzing actual ca∞of Shandong Peninsula,this thesis pmved that the Shandong peniIIsula,logistics and urban cluster economies showsmutual promotion and coordinated development characteristics． This thesis is to establish a useful contribmion that explored the interrelationship bctwocn modem logistics and economic growth ofurban cluster,which provide a reference to relevant government clcparanents for the city to exercise macro-contr01．