中国仍处于工业化进程中，制造业与先进国家相比还有较大差距，加强绿色供应链构建是制造业供给侧结构改革和转型升级，实现高质量可持续发展的重要举措。由于结构复杂性、动态性、交叉性及面向用户需求等特点，以及绿色发展认识不足、绿色技术落后、绿色效益不明显的问题，使得制造业绿色供应链的发展面临较大风险，因此加强制造业绿色供应链风险管理的理论和实践研究具有重要意义。

       论文在梳理国内外关于制造业绿色供应链风险管理相关研究成果及相关理论的基础上，运用程序化扎根理论对制造业绿色供应链的风险因素进行识别，在专家访谈和问卷调查的基础上，构建并修正 0-1 邻接矩阵，运用社会网络分析法构建制造业绿色供应链风险网络，并对整体网络和个体网络的网络密度、凝聚力指数、块模型、中间人、度数中心度、中间中心度等进行分析评价。结果表明：制造业绿色供应链主要存在商业环境、流程、运行、信息与技术、企业管理等五大类风险，共 28 项风险因素；在 28 项风险因素中，核心风险因素有政策环境影响、市场环境变化、绿色生产风险、绿色营销风险、链上相关方绿色表现差、绿色技术发展水平落后、管理理念落后等 11 项，关键风险关系有38 条。从控制核心风险因素和切断关键风险关系传播角度，提出了制造业绿色供应链风险应对措施，对制造业绿色供应链风险管理具有实践指导价值。

China is still in the process of industrialization, and there is still a big gap between manufacturing and advanced countries. Strengthening the construction of green supply chain is an important measure to reform and upgrade the supply-side structure of manufacturing and achieve high-quality sustainable development. Due to the characteristics of structural complexity, dynamic, cross-cutting and user-oriented demand, as well as the problems of insufficient understanding of green development, backward green technology and unobvious green benefits, the development of green supply chain in manufacturing industry faces great risks. Therefore, it is of great significance to strengthen the theoretical and practical research on the risk management of green supply chain in manufacturing industry.

On the basis of sorting out domestic and foreign research results and related theories on the risk management of manufacturing green supply chain, this paper identifies the risk factors of green supply chain in manufacturing industry by using the procedural grounded theory. On the basis of expert interviews and questionnaires, this paper constructs and modifies the 0 - 1 adjacency matrix, constructs the risk network of green supply chain in manufacturing industry by using the social network analysis method, and analyzes and evaluates the network density, cohesion index, block model, middleman, degree centrality and intermediate centrality of the overall network and individual network. The results show that the manufacturing green supply chain mainly has five categories of risks, including business environment, process, operation, information and technology, and enterprise management, with a total of 28 risk factors. Among the 28 risk factors, the core risk factors include 11 items such as policy environment impact, market environment change, green production risk, green marketing risk, poor green performance of related parties on the chain, backward green technology development level, and backward management concept. There are 38 key risk relationships. From the perspective of controlling core risk factors and cutting off the spread of key risk relationships, this paper puts forward the risk response measures of manufacturing green supply chain, which has practical guiding value for manufacturing green supply chain risk management.

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