在全球半导体产业不断发展的大背景下，电子特气作为芯片制造的核心材料关系到半导体产业链的稳定。5G通信、人工智能等新兴技术的兴起加速半导体芯片及电子特气需求。电子信息产业作为国家战略性新兴产业，各国政府都加大对电子特气的投入。目前电子特气市场主要被欧美、日本等企业所占领，对于国内企业来说面临着激烈的国际竞争。W公司电子特气项目致力于填补国内高端电子特气产能的缺口，力争成华中地区的标志性电子特气项目。对于W公司电子特气项目试生产来说，电子特气试生产存在生产工艺复杂、技术门槛高、管理难度大、市场不确定性强、供应链风险突出等风险因素影响项目推进。如何有效识别、评估和应对这些风险成为项目试生产阶段急需解决的问题。

本文对W公司电子特气项目的试生产阶段风险进行研究，综合采用文献研究法、德尔菲法、实地调查法、层次分析法（AHP）以及模糊综合评价法（FCE）等多种手段进行研究。通过文献研究和实地调查梳理风险管理理论及电子特气项目试生产风险管理研究现状，并通过德尔菲法筛选出环境风险、技术风险、安全风险及运营管理风险四类核心风险因素，接着利用层次分析法确定各风险评价指标的权重分配，结合模糊综合评价法构建风险评估模型，评估项目试生产阶段的风险因素。研究结果显示：（1）环境风险与技术风险为较高风险水平，安全风险处于一般风险水平，运营管理风险为较低风险水平，项目整体风险等级处于一般风险水平；（2）项目试生产阶段风险整体可控，但现有风险管理存在短板需要优化完善，需针对不同风险因素制定差异化风险应对策略；（3）强调环境风险和技术风险的重要性，需重点针对环境风险与技术风险采取系统性应对措施，提升项目试生产技术水平和抗环境风险能力；（4）安全风险和运营风险虽分别处于一般风险和较低风险水平，虽然风险等级相对较低，但依然可能对项目试生产推进产生不利影响，需持续优化安全管理流程与运营管理效能。最后，分别针对环境风险、技术风险、安全风险、运营管理风险等不同风险因素评估结果提出具有针对性的风险应对策略。通过以上研究实现了对W公司电子特气项目试生产风险管理体系的针对性优化，对电子特气行业项目试生产风险管理的实际应用也提供了相应的参考依据。

Against the backdrop of the continuous development of the global semiconductor industry, electronic special gases, as core materials for chip manufacturing, are crucial to the stability of the semiconductor industry chain. The rise of emerging technologies such as 5G communication and artificial intelligence has accelerated the demand for semiconductor chips and electronic special gases. As a national strategic emerging industry, the electronic information industry has attracted increased investment in electronic special gases from governments worldwide. Currently, the electronic special gas market is dominated by enterprises from Europe, America, and Japan, subjecting domestic companies to fierce international competition. The electronic special gas project of Company W is committed to filling the gap in domestic high-end electronic special gas production capacity and striving to become a landmark electronic special gas project in the central region of China. For the trial production of Company W's electronic special gas project, the trial production of electronic special gases is affected by risk factors such as complex production processes, high technical thresholds, great management difficulties, strong market uncertainties, and prominent supply chain risks, which impact the project's progress. How to effectively identify, assess, and respond to these risks has become an urgent issue to be addressed during the project's trial production phase.

This study investigates the risks in the trial production phase of Company W's electronic special gas project, comprehensively adopting various research methods such as literature research, the Delphi method, field investigation, the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), and the Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation (FCE). Through literature research and field investigation, it combs the risk management theory and the research status of trial production risk management for electronic special gas projects. The Delphi method is used to screen out four categories of core risk factors: environmental risks, technical risks, safety risks, and operational management risks. Then, the AHP method is employed to determine the weight distribution of each risk evaluation index, and a risk assessment model is constructed by combining the FCE method to assess the risk factors in the project's trial production phase. The research results show that (1) Environmental risks and technical risks are at a relatively high risk level, safety risks are at a general risk level, operational management risks are at a relatively low risk level, and the overall project risk level is at a general risk level. (2) The risks in the project's trial production phase are generally controllable, but there are shortcomings in the existing risk management that need to be optimized and improved. Differentiated risk response strategies should be formulated for different risk factors. (3) The importance of environmental risks and technical risks is emphasized, and systematic response measures should be taken specifically for environmental risks and technical risks to enhance the technical level of the project's trial production and its ability to resist environmental risks. (4) Although safety risks and operational risks are at general and relatively low risk levels respectively, and their risk levels are relatively low, they may still have adverse effects on the promotion of the project's trial production. It is necessary to continuously optimize the safety management process and operational management efficiency. Finally, targeted risk response strategies are proposed based on the evaluation results of different risk factors such as environmental risks, technical risks, safety risks, and operational management risks. Through the above research, the targeted optimization of the trial production risk management system for Company W's electronic special gas project is achieved, providing corresponding reference for the practical application of trial production risk management in the electronic special gas industry.

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