在当今的知识经济时代，知识在社会和经济发展中的作用举足轻重，从发达国家发展经验来看，知识对经济增长的贡献已占主导地位。人才是知识的载体，是经济增长和社会进步的最重要的力量。江西人勤奋好学、刻苦求知，人才辈出，但江西却人才告急，外面的人才吸引不进来，本土培养的人才留不住，并且由于地理位置和历史的原因，江西省的经济增长速度低于全国平均水平。因此，定性且定量地分析评价江西省的人才环境与人才资本，并采用科学合理的预测分析方法来研究人才环境、人才资本与江西省经济增长的关系，具有重要的现实意义。 本文首先从理论层面论述了人才环境、人才资本与经济增长的作用机理，在此基础上，构建了一套适合江西省人才环境和人才资本的综合评价指标体系。收集了1978年至2007年的江西省人才环境与人才资本的相关数据，接着利用支持向量机方法，分别分析了人才环境、人才资本与经济增长的关系模型。然后从人才环境指标体系和人才资本指标体系出发，分别预测了2004年至2007年的江西省GDP和PGDP值。通过比较运用SVM和柯布-道格拉斯生产函数方法分别建立的模型得出的江西省GDP以及PGDP值的预测结果，发现SVM模型具有更高精度的预测效果。 本文的创新之处在于：在构建江西省人才环境指标体系时，增添了社会保险指数、刑事诉讼辩护及代理和社会教育指数等；首次运用支持向量基研究人才资本、人才环境与经济增长的关系，并与传统的柯布-道格拉斯生产函数方法进行对比，得出了支持向量机模型具有更优预测效果。 本文采用定性和定量、理论和实证相结合的方法，有效地评价分析人才环境和人才资本，及其与经济增长的作用机理，为政府制定宏观调控决策提供理论与技术上的有力支持。

In the eral of knowledge economy, knowledge plays a significant role in the socila progress and economic development and even takes a leading role in economic growth in the developed countries. Talents as the carrier of knowledge is the most important force in economic growth and social progress.Take Jiang Xi provence for exampple. On the one hand, Jiang Xi , noted for people’s hardworking and deligence, has talented people coming forth in great numbers; on the other hand, Jiang Xi rans out of supplies of talents. For one thing, it is difficult to recruit from the outside to outstanding talents; for another thing, the local talents are unwilling to leave. In addtion to the disadvantaged geographical conditions and historical reasons, Jiang Xi has a lower economic growth rate than the national average level.Therefore, it bears great significance to make a qualitative and quantitative analysis and assessment of the talent environment and talent capital and to predict the relationship between the two and economic growth by adopting scientific and reasonable methods. The thesis first discusses the functioning mechanism of the three factors and bases on them to construct a comprehensive assessment system suitable for the talent environment and talent capital in Jiang Xi province. After collecting the related data to the talent environment and talent capital in Jiang Xi province from 1978 to 2007, the author analyzes the talent-environment-talent capital-economic-growth model through the method of Support Vector Machine(SVM).Then the author bases on the the talent environment assessment system and talent capital assessment system to predict the GDP and PGDP of Jiang Xi from 2004 to 2007. By comparing and applying the prediction from the model constructed by employing the mothod of SVM and Cobb-douglas production function , it is found that SVM model has greater accuracy of prediction. The innovations of the present study lie in two aspects. First, such terms as social insurance index, the criminal litigation defence and agency and social educational index are added in the construction of Jiang Xi talent environment index system; second, SVM is applied for the first time to analyze talent envirment, talent capital and ecnomic growth and compared with the traditional Cobb-douglas production function method to conlude that SVM has better predictible effect. To sum up, the present study combines qualitative and quantitative analysis with theoratical and empiritical methods to effectively assess and analyze the functioning mechanism of the talent envirment, talent capital and ecnomic growth, which provides powerful theoratical and technical support for the government to make decisions of macro control and adjustment.