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论文中文题名:

 我国碳排放-经济发展-生态环境三维系统耦合协调时空演化研究    

姓名:

 李珏    

学号:

 19202001010    

保密级别:

 公开    

论文语种:

 chi    

学科代码:

 020205    

学科名称:

 经济学 - 应用经济学 - 产业经济学    

学生类型:

 硕士    

学位级别:

 经济学硕士    

学位年度:

 2022    

培养单位:

 西安科技大学    

院系:

 管理学院    

专业:

 产业经济学    

研究方向:

 区域经济发展    

第一导师姓名:

 吕靖烨    

第一导师单位:

 西安科技大学    

论文提交日期:

 2022-06-13    

论文答辩日期:

 2022-06-06    

论文外文题名:

 Study on Spatio-temporal Evolution of Three-dimensional System Coupling and Coordination of Carbon Emission- Economic Development-Ecological Environment in China    

论文中文关键词:

 碳排放-经济发展-生态环境 ; 三维系统 ; 耦合协调 ; 空间相关性 ; 障碍度    

论文外文关键词:

 Carbon emission-Economic development-Ecological environment ; Three dimensional system ; Coupling coordination ; Spatial correlation ; Obstacle degree    

论文中文摘要:

       经济高质量发展背景下,我国生态环境保护和碳排放控制的成效逐渐显现,碳排放、经济增长和生态环境的协同关系也在发生变化。如何在实现碳排放目标的同时,实现经济高质量发展和生态环境优化,是我国面临的重要问题。为厘清碳排放、经济发展和生态环境的关系,推动我国碳排放-经济发展-生态环境三维系统协调发展,需要深入研究碳排放-经济发展-生态环境三维系统的协调发展关系。本文在对碳排放-经济发展-生态环境三维系统的理论成果进行梳理的前提下,融入耦合协调性理论和方法,以高质量发展理论等为基础,构建我国30个省份碳排放、经济发展、生态环境三个子系统指标体系。釆用熵值法分别计算三个子系统的综合指数。运用耦合协调模型测度二维系统、三维系统耦合协调度。并且,构建空间相关性模型和障碍度模型,对我国30个省份碳排放-经济发展-生态环境三维系统耦合协调的空间相关性、空间聚集性、障碍度进行分析。 

       结果表明,我国30个省份三维系统耦合协调度呈现上升趋势,耦合协调等级呈现出东高西低差异化特征。各省份碳排放-经济发展-生态环境的三维系统耦合协调存在显著的空间相关关系。新疆由“低-低”聚集变为“高-低”聚集,河北、山西、山东、河南形成稳定的“高-高”聚集格局,其他省份不存在聚集效应。制约三维系统协调发展的系统层障碍因素中,碳排放子系统障碍度呈上升趋势。准则层中,环境污染、环境治理、环境质量为主要的障碍因素。社会消费品零售总额增长率为主要的指标层障碍因素。最后,结合研究结果,提出调整能源结构、促进区域低碳减排合作等对策建议。

论文外文摘要:

        Under the background of high-quality economic development, the effectiveness of China's ecological environment protection and carbon emission control is gradually emerging, and the synergistic relationship between carbon emission, economic growth and ecological environment is also changing. How to achieve high-quality economic development and ecological environment optimization while achieving the carbon emission target is an important problem facing China. In order to clarify the relationship between carbon emission, economic development and ecological environment and promote the coordinated development of China's three-dimensional system of carbon emission, economic development and ecological environment, it is necessary to deeply study the coordinated development relationship of the three-dimensional system of carbon emission, economic development and ecological environment. On the premise of combing the theoretical results of the three-dimensional system of carbon emission, economic development and ecological environment, this paper integrates the coupling coordination theory and method, and constructs the three subsystem index system of carbon emission, economic development and ecological environment in 30 provinces of China based on the high-quality development theory. The entropy method is used to calculate the comprehensive indexes of the three subsystems. The coupling coordination degree model is used to measure the coupling coordination scheduling of two-dimensional system and three-dimensional system. Moreover, the spatial correlation model and obstacle degree model are constructed to analyze the spatial correlation, spatial aggregation and obstacle factors of the three-dimensional system coupling coordination degree of carbon emission, economic development and ecological environment in 30 provinces of China.

        The results show that the coupling coordination degree of three-dimensional system in 30 provinces in China shows an upward trend, and the coupling coordination level shows the characteristics of high in the East and low differentiation in the West. There is a significant spatial correlation between the three-dimensional system coupling and coordination of carbon emission, economic development and ecological environment in each province. Xinjiang has changed from "low-low" aggregation to "high-low" aggregation. Hebei, Shanxi, Shandong and Henan have formed a stable "high-high" aggregation pattern, and there is no aggregation effect in other provinces. Among the system level obstacles restricting the coordinated development of three-dimensional system, the obstacle degree of carbon emission subsystem shows an upward trend. In the criterion layer, environmental pollution, environmental governance and environmental quality are the main obstacle factors. The growth rate of total retail sales of social consumer goods is the main indicator barrier factor. Finally, combined with the research results, this paper puts forward countermeasures and suggestions to adjust the energy structure and promote regional low-carbon emission reduction cooperation.

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中图分类号:

 F426.2    

开放日期:

 2022-06-14    

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